Long-horizon business incubation and consulting

The real clock.

What public data says about how long a business takes, in six charts.

Stage 1 of 6: scattered dust

Year 0

A record year for starting.

Americans filed more business applications in 2025 than in any year on record.

  • 5,671,836

    U.S. business applications in 2025, the most in any year of the series

    U.S. Census Bureau, Business Formation Statistics . 2025.

    Derived: Sum of the twelve monthly values, not seasonally adjusted (series BA_BA). The Census Bureau revises the series each year.

These figures describe all new U.S. businesses, not WE's results.

U.S. business applications by year, 2005 to 2025 Applications held near 2.5 million a year until 2016, rose to 3.5 million by 2019, jumped in 2020 and 2021, and reached a record 5,671,836 in 2025. 0 1M 2M 3M 4M 5M 6M 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 5,671,836 U.S. business applications by year, 2005 to 2025 Applications held near 2.5 million a year until 2016, rose to 3.5 million by 2019, jumped in 2020 and 2021, and reached a record 5,671,836 in 2025. 0 1M 2M 3M 4M 5M 6M 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 5,671,836

Yearly U.S. business applications, 2005 to 2025.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Business Formation Statistics . Sum of the twelve monthly values, not seasonally adjusted (series BA_BA). The Census Bureau revises the series each year.

Show the data
U.S. business applications by year
YearApplications
20052,485,100
20062,615,834
20072,633,956
20082,559,006
20092,406,259
20102,473,934
20112,550,495
20122,550,198
20132,591,539
20142,691,040
20152,795,897
20162,948,338
20173,182,674
20183,486,829
20193,498,990
20204,356,498
20215,390,816
20225,062,563
20235,469,302
20245,224,176
20255,671,836
Stage 2 of 6: dust gathering around a small core

Years 0 to 2

Few become employers quickly.

Of 2021's applications, 7.5% had hired anyone within two years, and the wait to first payroll has grown.

These figures describe all new U.S. businesses, not WE's results.

  • Business applications filed in 2021 5,390,816
  • Became employers within one year 315,318 (5.8%)
  • Became employers within two years 403,072 (7.5%)
  • 2005 applications 1.48 quarters
  • 2021 applications 2.29 quarters

What became of the business applications filed in 2021, and the wait from application to first payroll.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Business Formation Statistics ; U.S. Census Bureau, Business Formation Statistics definitions . 403,072 formations within eight quarters (BF_BF8Q) out of 5,390,816 applications (BA_BA), monthly values summed.

Show the data
Applications filed in 2021 and the employer businesses formed from them
MeasureValue
Business applications filed in 20215,390,816
Became employers within one year315,318 (5.8%)
Became employers within two years403,072 (7.5%)
Quarters to first payroll, 2005 applications1.48 quarters
Quarters to first payroll, 2021 applications2.29 quarters
Stage 3 of 6: a hot core

Years 0 to 10

About half are gone by year five.

About 1 in 5 close in year one, about half by year five, and about a third remain at year ten. Software-heavy and professional-services businesses follow the same curve.

These figures describe all new U.S. businesses, not WE's results.

Survival of new U.S. establishments over ten years Three falling lines that move together: all private-sector establishments fall from 100% to 79.6% after one year, 50.2% after five and 34.7% after ten. Information falls to 30.0% and professional and technical services to 34.3% at year ten. Ignite Build Launch Grow Orbit 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 79.6% 50.2% 34.7% Survival of new U.S. establishments over ten years Three falling lines that move together: all private-sector establishments fall from 100% to 79.6% after one year, 50.2% after five and 34.7% after ten. Information falls to 30.0% and professional and technical services to 34.3% at year ten. 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0 2 4 6 8 10 79.6% 50.2% 34.7%
  • All private-sector establishments
  • Information (includes software)
  • Professional and technical services

Shaded behind the lines: Ignite (to 6 months), Build (to 18 months), Launch (to year 3), Grow (to year 5) and Orbit (after year 5).

Share of establishments still operating, by years since opening, for those opened in the year to March 2015.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Business Employment Dynamics, Table 7 ; BLS Business Employment Dynamics, Table 7, NAICS 51 ; BLS Business Employment Dynamics, Table 7, NAICS 54 . The shaded phases are WE's names for the years, not the source's.

Show the data
Survival since opening, establishments opened in the year to March 2015 (percent)
Years since openingAll private sectorInformationProfessional and technical services
0100%100%100%
179.6%80.8%81.6%
269.1%70%71.2%
361.4%60.8%63%
455.4%53.3%56%
550.2%46.8%50.3%
646.4%42.6%46.9%
743.6%38.6%43.2%
840.3%35.4%40%
937.4%33%37.2%
1034.7%30%34.3%
Stage 4 of 6: a world with land

Months 0 to 60

Three months, or three to five years.

Many programs for founders are designed for about three months. A business is not counted as established until it is 42 months old.

These figures describe all new U.S. businesses, not WE's results.

  1. A fixed-term program for founders (Cohen and Hochberg (2014)) 3 months
  2. Incubation, as the research defines it (Cohen and Hochberg (2014)) 1 to 5 years
  3. Counted as an established business (Global Entrepreneurship Monitor, U.S. report 2025/2026 (Babson College)) 42 months
  4. About half of new establishments have closed (SBA Office of Advocacy, Frequently Asked Questions About Small Business (2026)) 5 years

One months axis, from the start of a business to its fifth year.

Source: Cohen and Hochberg (2014) ; Global Entrepreneurship Monitor, U.S. report 2025/2026 (Babson College) ; SBA Office of Advocacy, Frequently Asked Questions About Small Business (2026) .

Show the data
Program lengths and milestones in months
WhatFromToAs the source puts it
A fixed-term program for foundersMonth 0Month 33 months
Incubation, as the research defines itMonth 12Month 601 to 5 years
Counted as an established businessMonth 42Month 4242 months
About half of new establishments have closedMonth 60Month 605 years
Stage 5 of 6: a world with an atmosphere

Years 1 to 10

Every year survived makes the next more likely.

The hardest years are the first five. After that, the odds turn.

These figures describe all new U.S. businesses, not WE's results.

Survival from the previous year rises with age 79.6% of new establishments survive their first year. The share rises almost every year after, to 94.4% in year nine. 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Yr 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Yr 5 Yr 6 Yr 7 Yr 8 Yr 9 94.4% Survival from the previous year rises with age 79.6% of new establishments survive their first year. The share rises almost every year after, to 94.4% in year nine. 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Yr 1 Yr 3 Yr 5 Yr 7 Yr 9 94.4%

Of establishments still open at the start of each year, the share that survived that year. Opened in the year to March 2013.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Business Employment Dynamics, Table 7 .

Show the data
Survival from the previous year, establishments opened in the year to March 2013
YearSurvived the year
Year 179.6%
Year 286.6%
Year 389.0%
Year 490.1%
Year 591.5%
Year 692.2%
Year 791.7%
Year 893.2%
Year 994.4%
Stage 6 of 6: a settled world with a moon in orbit

Any year

It is rarely the idea.

Among venture-backed startups that shut down, running out of capital and missing product-market fit led the reasons given.

These figures describe all new U.S. businesses, not WE's results.

  • Ran out of capital 70%
  • Poor product-market fit 43%
  • Bad timing 29%
  • Unsustainable unit economics 19%

Reasons given by venture-backed startups that shut down since 2023.

Source: CB Insights (2026), venture-backed startups that shut down; more than one reason allowed .

Venture-backed startups only. A company could give more than one reason.

Show the data
Reasons given for shutting down, venture-backed startups
ReasonShare citing it
Ran out of capital70%
Poor product-market fit43%
Bad timing29%
Unsustainable unit economics19%

Paced, not packed.

Research that sorts programs for founders finds two shapes. Fixed-term programs usually run about three months. Incubation, as the same research defines it, runs one to five years.

WE works to the longer clock: phases matched to the survival curve, written reviews at years one, three and five, and a team that steps down as the company needs less, rather than stopping on a date.

WE does not claim that this changes any survival figure on this page. It is how WE chooses to pace the work.

Source: Cohen and Hochberg (2014).

Five phase rings around a company, with reviews marked at years one, three and five Yr 1 Yr 3 Yr 5
  1. Ignite, 0 months to 6 months
  2. Build, 6 months to year 1.5
  3. Launch, year 1.5 to year 3
  4. Grow, year 3 to year 5
  5. Orbit, from year 5 on
  6. Written reviews at years 1, 3 and 5.

Experience is the head start.

The founders of the fastest-growing startups are, on average, in their forties. Industry experience is one of the strongest signals in the data.

These figures describe all new U.S. businesses, not WE's results.

  • All founders of U.S. startups that hire 41.9 years
  • Founders of the fastest-growing 1 in 1,000 45.0 years

Mean age at founding. All U.S. startups that hire: founded 2007 to 2014. The fastest-growing 1 in 1,000: founded 2007 to 2009.

Source: Azoulay, Jones, Kim and Miranda, Age and High-Growth Entrepreneurship .

Show the data
Mean founder age at founding
FoundersMean age
All founders of U.S. startups that hire41.9 years
Founders of the fastest-growing 1 in 1,00045.0 years

The long game

Move fast every week. Build for the decade.

Read the six charts as one rule: the first years are the hardest, and every year survived makes the next more likely. So the week is fast and the plan is patient. WE moves every week on a timeline built for the decade.

Every week

Fast, and written down.

  1. 1 Plan The week’s cycle is set in writing.
  2. 2 Build A dedicated team ships the work.
  3. 3 Report A written status, every week.
  4. 4 Decide You say yes or no to the next cycle.

Every year

Patient, because the odds turn slowly.

Most new businesses close in the first five years. After that, each year survived makes the next more likely. WE paces the work to that curve.

So WE is built for the clock.

WE paces the work in phases matched to this curve, with reviews at years one, three and five, and no fixed end date.

These figures describe all new U.S. businesses, not WE's results. No one can promise that a company will survive. WE's promise is to do the work on the real timeline.

A settled world in a steady orbit

The wider ecosystem

Join the programs that fit. WE stays for the long run.

WE does not compete with the programs around you. Founder programs, coworking spaces, investor communities and public funding each do something WE does not, and most founders do best using several. Join the ones that fit. WE works alongside, for as long as the work is useful.

  • Founder programs

    Structured, time-boxed programs with a peer group and a deadline.

  • Coworking spaces

    A desk, a room and people who are building too.

  • Investor communities

    Angel groups and investor relations events where you meet the people who fund companies.

  • University and lab programs

    Research, labs and technology transfer for science-based companies.

  • Local small business support

    Advisers, training and regional networks close to home.

  • Public funding

    Federal research awards such as SBIR and STTR.

Independent programs that WE encourages founders to consider. No affiliation or endorsement is implied.

Public funding

Apply to SBIR and STTR.

The Small Business Innovation Research and Small Business Technology Transfer programs fund small businesses to do research and development. If your company is building something technical, apply, and keep applying.

WE helps founders prepare alongside. WE is not an agency and cannot promise an award.

See how SBIR and STTR work

  1. 1 Find The agency topics that match what you build.
  2. 2 Prepare The registrations, the plan and the proposal.
  3. 3 Apply Submit, learn from the review and go again.

See the data behind the long game.

Public statistics from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Census Bureau, the SBA and the Federal Reserve, charted with every source linked.

48% 1

of firms aged 0 to 5 years were fully approved for financing, against 63% of firms aged 21 or more

30% 2

success rate after a prior success, against 22% after a failure and 21% for first-timers

22.8% 3

of new entrepreneurs were aged 55 to 64 in 2021, up from 14.8% in 1996

  1. Federal Reserve Banks, Small Business Credit Survey (2026 report on employer firms) , Applicants in the prior 12 months
  2. Gompers, Kovner, Lerner and Scharfstein (venture-backed founders) , Venture-backed founders
  3. Kauffman, Who Is the Entrepreneur? (2022) , 1996 and 2021

Explore the data

Sources

  1. Business Formation Statistics, monthly data (CSV), U.S. Census Bureau . Accessed October 14, 2026.
  2. Business Formation Statistics: Definitions, U.S. Census Bureau . Accessed October 14, 2026.
  3. Business Employment Dynamics, Table 7: Survival of private sector establishments by opening year (total private), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics . Accessed October 14, 2026.
  4. Business Employment Dynamics, Table 7: Survival of private sector establishments by opening year (Information, NAICS 51), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics . Accessed October 14, 2026.
  5. Business Employment Dynamics, Table 7: Survival of private sector establishments by opening year (Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services, NAICS 54), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics . Accessed October 14, 2026.
  6. Accelerating Startups: The Seed Accelerator Phenomenon (Cohen and Hochberg, 2014), Table 2, University of Colorado Boulder, Leeds School of Business (faculty copy) . Accessed October 14, 2026.
  7. GEM USA 2025/2026 report coverage, Babson College . Accessed October 14, 2026.
  8. Frequently Asked Questions About Small Business, 2026, U.S. Small Business Administration, Office of Advocacy . Accessed October 14, 2026.
  9. The top reasons startups fail, CB Insights . Accessed October 14, 2026.
  10. Age and High-Growth Entrepreneurship (Azoulay, Jones, Kim and Miranda), NBER Working Paper 24489, National Bureau of Economic Research . Accessed October 14, 2026.